ไทม์ไลน์ข่าวสาร forex

03:48 Australia will allow release of up to 762 million litres of petrol, diesel from domestic reserves
Australia's Energy Minister said on Friday that the country will release up to 762 million litres of fuel from reserves after easing stockholding rules to counter supply disruptions linked to the Iran conflict.

03:19 Japanese Yen recovers slightly vs. USD as intervention fears loom ahead of US PCE data
The USD/JPY pair meets with some supply during the Asian session on Friday, and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak back closer to the 159.40-159.45 area, or the year-to-date high.

.fxs-major-currency-prices-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:8px 16px}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table{width:100%;text-align:center;border-collapse:collapse;font-size:1rem}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table th{background-color:#f2f2f2}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td{color:#fff}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.green{background-color:#9cd6cd}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.red{background-color:#faafb5}table.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-table td.blue-grey{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-prices-legend{font-size:11px;margin:8px;color:#49494f}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-major-currency-prices-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}.fxs-major-currency-prices-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.dark-green{background-color:#39ad9a}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-green{background-color:#9cd6cd}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.gray{background-color:#888a93}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.light-red{background-color:#faafb5}.fxs-major-currency-prices-currency-price td.strong-red{background-color:#f55e6a}USD/JPY attracts some sellers and snaps a three-day winning streak back closer to the YTD top.Intervention fears prompt some JPY short-covering and weigh on spot prices amid a softer USD.The downside seems limited as traders now await the release of the crucial US PCE Price Index.The USD/JPY pair meets with some supply during the Asian session on Friday, and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak back closer to the 159.40-159.45 area, or the year-to-date high. Spot prices drop to the 159.00 mark in the last hour, though the downside potential seems limited.The Japanese Yen (JPY) reached levels that prompted the so-called rate checks in January, fueling speculations that authorities would step in to stem further weakness in the domestic currency. This turns out to be a key factor exerting some pressure on the USD/JPY pair amid a modest downtick in the US Dollar (USD). Any meaningful depreciation, however, seems elusive, warranting some caution for bearish traders.Given that Japan is one of the world's most energy-dependent nations, the recent surge in Crude Oil prices threatens to drive up consumer prices and weaken economic growth. This would create a classic stagflationary environment and further complicate the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) normalization efforts, which might hold back traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around the JPY and act as a tailwind for the USD/JPY pair.The USD, on the other hand, might continue to draw support from reduced bets for near-term interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Escalating Middle East tensions and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz remain supportive of elevated Crude Oil prices, fueling concerns about a war-driven surge in inflation. This could force the US Fed to delay cutting rates, which should support the USD and the USD/JPY pair.Traders might also opt to wait for the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, later today, for more cues about the Fed's rate-cut path. This, in turn, might influence the USD price dynamics and provide some impetus to the USD/JPY pair. Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to register gains for the fourth straight week and the supportive fundamental backdrop favors bulls. Japanese Yen Price This Month The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies this month. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the Euro. USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF USD 2.37% 0.93% 1.91% -0.42% 0.29% 2.15% 1.44% EUR -2.37% -1.41% -0.48% -2.73% -2.03% -0.22% -0.91% GBP -0.93% 1.41% 0.98% -1.33% -0.63% 1.21% 0.50% JPY -1.91% 0.48% -0.98% -2.28% -1.59% 0.22% -0.46% CAD 0.42% 2.73% 1.33% 2.28% 0.71% 2.56% 1.86% AUD -0.29% 2.03% 0.63% 1.59% -0.71% 1.85% 1.14% NZD -2.15% 0.22% -1.21% -0.22% -2.56% -1.85% -0.69% CHF -1.44% 0.91% -0.50% 0.46% -1.86% -1.14% 0.69% The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).

03:15 PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9007 vs. 6.8959 previous
On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.9007 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.8959 and 6.8888 Reuters estimate.

03:03 EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1500 ahead of US PCE inflation release
The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1520 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

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Iran's new supreme leader Khamenei vows to keep blocking the Strait of Hormuz. The Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged at its upcoming policy meeting next week. The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1520 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for January will be in the spotlight later on Friday. Surging oil prices could exert some selling pressure on the shared currency as the Eurozone is a major net importer of energy, making its economy highly vulnerable to "stagflationary" shocks. Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said that the crucial Strait of Hormuz should remain closed and that Iran will continue attacks on its Persian Gulf neighbors.Earlier this week, Israel said it had launched a new wave of strikes against the Iranian capital, Tehran, and also targeted Hezbollah in Lebanon. Rising tensions in the Middle East could trigger a "rush into safe haven," boosting the US Dollar (USD) and creating a headwind for the major pair. Futures markets and economists anticipated the US Federal Reserve (Fed) holding interest rates steady at its upcoming policy meeting next week. The benchmark federal funds rate currently sits at 3.50% – 3.75%. The US January PCE inflation data, which will be released on Friday, could offer some hints about the US interest rate path. If the report shows a softer-than-expected outcome, this could drag the Greenback lower against the Euro. Euro FAQs What is the Euro? The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day. EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%). What is the ECB and how does it impact the Euro? The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy. The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa. The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde. How does inflation data impact the value of the Euro? Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control. Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money. How does economic data influence the value of the Euro? Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency. A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall. Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy. How does the Trade Balance impact the Euro? Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period. If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

03:02 Australian Dollar rises as markets price in March RBA rate hike
AUD/USD gains ground after registering over 1% losses in the previous session, trading around 0.7090 during the Asian hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) finds support against the US Dollar (USD) amid hawkish expectations surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy outlook.

.fxs-faq-module-wrapper{border:1px solid #dddedf;background:#fff;margin-bottom:32px;width:100%;float:left;font-family:Roboto,sans-serif}.fxs-faq-module-title{color:#1b1c23;font-size:16px;font-style:italic;font-weight:700;line-height:22.4px;text-transform:uppercase;background:#f3f3f8;padding:8px 16px;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-container{padding:16px;width:100%;box-sizing:border-box;display:flex;flex-direction:column;gap:12px}.fxs-faq-module-section{padding-bottom:16px;border-bottom:1px solid #ececf1;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-section:last-child{border:none;margin-bottom:0}.fxs-faq-module-container input[type=checkbox]{display:none}.fxs-faq-module-header{padding:4px 0;background-color:#fff;border:none;position:relative;cursor:pointer;margin:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label{display:block;cursor:pointer}.fxs-faq-module-header label span{display:block;width:calc(100% - 50px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{content:"";position:absolute;top:50%;right:16px;width:8px;height:2px;background-color:#49494f;transition:all .2s ease-in-out;transition-delay:0}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(4px)}.fxs-faq-module-header label:after,.fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transition:transform .3s ease-in-out}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:after{transform:rotate(45deg) translateX(4px)}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-header label:before{transform:rotate(-45deg) translateX(-4px)}.fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:0;overflow:hidden;transition:all .3s ease-in-out;color:#49494f;font-weight:300;padding:0;font-size:14.72px;line-height:20px;margin:0}input[type=checkbox]:checked+.fxs-faq-module-section .fxs-faq-module-content{max-height:1000px;margin-top:8px}@media (min-width:680px){.fxs-faq-module-title{font-size:19.2px;line-height:27.2px}.fxs-faq-module-header{font-size:19.2px;line-height:25.92px}.fxs-faq-module-content{font-size:16px;line-height:21.6px}}Australian Dollar advances as markets expect the RBA to increase interest rates in March.A Reuters poll shows 23 of 30 economists expect the RBA to raise the cash rate to 4.10% on March 17.January’s US Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index will be eyed later on Friday.AUD/USD gains ground after registering over 1% losses in the previous session, trading around 0.7090 during the Asian hours on Friday. The Australian Dollar (AUD) finds support against the US Dollar (USD) amid hawkish expectations surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) policy outlook.A Reuters poll released Friday showed that 23 of 30 economists expect the RBA to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.10% on March 17, while seven anticipate no change. The latest survey represents a shift from February’s poll, which projected the rate would remain at 3.85%. The median forecast now sees the cash rate reaching 4.35% by the end of 2026.Francesco Pesole of ING identifies the Australian Dollar as one of the top-performing G10 currencies, supported by firm expectations of further RBA tightening and elevated Oil prices. Markets currently price in a 70% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike next week, with AUD/USD potentially targeting 0.7200 if equity markets remain stable. However, stretched positioning increases the risk of a correction following the policy decision.ING’s Pesole noted that equity market instability remains a key downside risk for the Australian Dollar, while markets are increasingly aggressive in pricing another RBA rate hike on March 17. The implied probability of a 25-basis-point increase has climbed to 70% in the Cash Rate futures market, with economist consensus also shifting toward a tightening move.Meanwhile, traders are preparing for another key US inflation release. January’s Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, is due later in the day, although it will not reflect the impact of the Iran war. Additional US data scheduled for release includes the first revision of fourth-quarter GDP growth and March consumer confidence. Australian Dollar FAQs What key factors drive the Australian Dollar? One of the most significant factors for the Australian Dollar (AUD) is the level of interest rates set by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Because Australia is a resource-rich country another key driver is the price of its biggest export, Iron Ore. The health of the Chinese economy, its largest trading partner, is a factor, as well as inflation in Australia, its growth rate and Trade Balance. Market sentiment – whether investors are taking on more risky assets (risk-on) or seeking safe-havens (risk-off) – is also a factor, with risk-on positive for AUD. How do the decisions of the Reserve Bank of Australia impact the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) influences the Australian Dollar (AUD) by setting the level of interest rates that Australian banks can lend to each other. This influences the level of interest rates in the economy as a whole. The main goal of the RBA is to maintain a stable inflation rate of 2-3% by adjusting interest rates up or down. Relatively high interest rates compared to other major central banks support the AUD, and the opposite for relatively low. The RBA can also use quantitative easing and tightening to influence credit conditions, with the former AUD-negative and the latter AUD-positive. How does the health of the Chinese Economy impact the Australian Dollar? China is Australia’s largest trading partner so the health of the Chinese economy is a major influence on the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD). When the Chinese economy is doing well it purchases more raw materials, goods and services from Australia, lifting demand for the AUD, and pushing up its value. The opposite is the case when the Chinese economy is not growing as fast as expected. Positive or negative surprises in Chinese growth data, therefore, often have a direct impact on the Australian Dollar and its pairs. How does the price of Iron Ore impact the Australian Dollar? Iron Ore is Australia’s largest export, accounting for $118 billion a year according to data from 2021, with China as its primary destination. The price of Iron Ore, therefore, can be a driver of the Australian Dollar. Generally, if the price of Iron Ore rises, AUD also goes up, as aggregate demand for the currency increases. The opposite is the case if the price of Iron Ore falls. Higher Iron Ore prices also tend to result in a greater likelihood of a positive Trade Balance for Australia, which is also positive of the AUD. How does the Trade Balance impact the Australian Dollar? The Trade Balance, which is the difference between what a country earns from its exports versus what it pays for its imports, is another factor that can influence the value of the Australian Dollar. If Australia produces highly sought after exports, then its currency will gain in value purely from the surplus demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase its exports versus what it spends to purchase imports. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens the AUD, with the opposite effect if the Trade Balance is negative.

02:38 RBA to raise cash rate to 4.10% on March 17 - Reuters poll
A Reuters poll showed on Friday that 23 of 30 economists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.10% on March 17. Seven economists projected no change. The forecast marks a shift from February’s poll, which anticipated rates to remain at 3.85%.

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Seven economists projected no change. The forecast marks a shift from February’s poll, which anticipated rates to remain at 3.85%.The median forecast now predicts the cash rate will reach 4.35% by the end of 2026. Market reactionAt the time of writing, the AUD/USD pair is up 0.12% on the day to trade at 0.7085. RBA FAQs What is the Reserve Bank of Australia and how does it influence the Australian Dollar? The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) sets interest rates and manages monetary policy for Australia. Decisions are made by a board of governors at 11 meetings a year and ad hoc emergency meetings as required. The RBA’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means an inflation rate of 2-3%, but also “..to contribute to the stability of the currency, full employment, and the economic prosperity and welfare of the Australian people.” Its main tool for achieving this is by raising or lowering interest rates. Relatively high interest rates will strengthen the Australian Dollar (AUD) and vice versa. Other RBA tools include quantitative easing and tightening. How does inflation data impact the value of the Australian Dollar? While inflation had always traditionally been thought of as a negative factor for currencies since it lowers the value of money in general, the opposite has actually been the case in modern times with the relaxation of cross-border capital controls. Moderately higher inflation now tends to lead central banks to put up their interest rates, which in turn has the effect of attracting more capital inflows from global investors seeking a lucrative place to keep their money. This increases demand for the local currency, which in the case of Australia is the Aussie Dollar. How does economic data influence the value of the Australian Dollar? Macroeconomic data gauges the health of an economy and can have an impact on the value of its currency. Investors prefer to invest their capital in economies that are safe and growing rather than precarious and shrinking. Greater capital inflows increase the aggregate demand and value of the domestic currency. Classic indicators, such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can influence AUD. A strong economy may encourage the Reserve Bank of Australia to put up interest rates, also supporting AUD. What is Quantitative Easing (QE) and how does it affect the Australian Dollar? Quantitative Easing (QE) is a tool used in extreme situations when lowering interest rates is not enough to restore the flow of credit in the economy. QE is the process by which the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) prints Australian Dollars (AUD) for the purpose of buying assets – usually government or corporate bonds – from financial institutions, thereby providing them with much-needed liquidity. QE usually results in a weaker AUD. What is Quantitative tightening (QT) and how does it affect the Australian Dollar? Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse of QE. It is undertaken after QE when an economic recovery is underway and inflation starts rising. Whilst in QE the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) purchases government and corporate bonds from financial institutions to provide them with liquidity, in QT the RBA stops buying more assets, and stops reinvesting the principal maturing on the bonds it already holds. It would be positive (or bullish) for the Australian Dollar.

02:00 WTI climbs above $95.50 as Iran says the Strait of Hormuz must remain closed
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $95.75 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price surges due to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid conflict involving the United States (US), Israel, and Iran.

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Iran’s new supreme leader says the Strait of Hormuz must remain closed. The IEA announced a historic release of 400 million barrels from strategic reserves to mitigate the supply. West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $95.75 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The WTI price surges due to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid conflict involving the United States (US), Israel, and Iran.US crude oil prices have risen more than 40% since the start of the war. The International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that the US-Israeli war on Iran was "creating the largest supply disruption in the history of the global oil market."Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said in his first public statement since being appointed that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz maritime passage should be continued as a “tool to pressure the enemy.” Khamenei further stated that all US military bases in the region should be immediately closed or will be attacked. On the other hand, a deal to release a record amount of reserves might cap the upside for the black gold. The IEA said on Wednesday that it will release a record 400 million barrels of oil in an attempt to curb the economic impact of the US-Israel war with Iran. The release of emergency oil reserves by countries coordinated through the IEA can add temporary supply to the market and prevent a sharp spike in oil prices. WTI Oil FAQs What is WTI Oil? WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media. What factors drive the price of WTI Oil? Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa. How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency. How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil? OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

01:42 SGD: Energy shock keeps MAS path in play – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that Asian FX, including the Singapore Dollar, still vulnerable to Oil-driven inflation and growth risks despite the IEA’s reserve release.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that Asian FX, including the Singapore Dollar, still vulnerable to Oil-driven inflation and growth risks despite the IEA’s reserve release. They note MAS is unlikely to react prematurely but a sustained rise in energy prices could reduce policy patience.Energy-driven inflation risks for Singapore"While IEA’s decision to release 400mn barrels from oil reserves intended to contain oil price spike is a positive step, Iran’s threat of USD200/bbl may still overwhelm in the interim, as it would have ramifications on inflation and growth outlook. In addition, release of oil reserves take time to reach open market due to logistical and shipping constraints.""This means markets may still face a short-term squeeze, especially if supply disruptions coincide with existing production cuts. In that sense, the reserve release may help to cap panic and smooth volatility, but it does not fully remove the risk of near-term oil price spikes. As such, Asian FX including SGD may still face pressure.""Our economists estimate that a move in average crude oil prices from around USD63/bbl to USD92/bbl could raise 2026 headline inflation from roughly 1.3% to about 1.8% YoY. Market pricing has also begun to reflect tentative expectations of a tighter policy stance."(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

01:24 Iran’s Mojtaba Khamenei says Strait of Hormuz must remain closed as tool to pressure enemy
Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said in his first public statement since being appointed that the closure of the Strait of Hormuz maritime passage should be continued as a “tool to pressure the enemy,” CNBC reported on Thursday.

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Khamenei added that all US military bases in the region should be immediately closed or will be attacked. He stated that attacks against US bases in the region would continue, even though Iran believes in goodwill with its neighbors.Meanwhile, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that the US Navy will escort oil tankers through the Strait of Hormuz when it is ‘militarily possible.’ Market reactionCrude oil prices attract some buyers following this headline. At the time of writing, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) is up 9.68% on the day at $95.88. WTI Oil FAQs What is WTI Oil? WTI Oil is a type of Crude Oil sold on international markets. The WTI stands for West Texas Intermediate, one of three major types including Brent and Dubai Crude. WTI is also referred to as “light” and “sweet” because of its relatively low gravity and sulfur content respectively. It is considered a high quality Oil that is easily refined. It is sourced in the United States and distributed via the Cushing hub, which is considered “The Pipeline Crossroads of the World”. It is a benchmark for the Oil market and WTI price is frequently quoted in the media. What factors drive the price of WTI Oil? Like all assets, supply and demand are the key drivers of WTI Oil price. As such, global growth can be a driver of increased demand and vice versa for weak global growth. Political instability, wars, and sanctions can disrupt supply and impact prices. The decisions of OPEC, a group of major Oil-producing countries, is another key driver of price. The value of the US Dollar influences the price of WTI Crude Oil, since Oil is predominantly traded in US Dollars, thus a weaker US Dollar can make Oil more affordable and vice versa. How does inventory data impact the price of WTI Oil The weekly Oil inventory reports published by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Agency (EIA) impact the price of WTI Oil. Changes in inventories reflect fluctuating supply and demand. If the data shows a drop in inventories it can indicate increased demand, pushing up Oil price. Higher inventories can reflect increased supply, pushing down prices. API’s report is published every Tuesday and EIA’s the day after. Their results are usually similar, falling within 1% of each other 75% of the time. The EIA data is considered more reliable, since it is a government agency. How does OPEC influence the price of WTI Oil? OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) is a group of 12 Oil-producing nations who collectively decide production quotas for member countries at twice-yearly meetings. Their decisions often impact WTI Oil prices. When OPEC decides to lower quotas, it can tighten supply, pushing up Oil prices. When OPEC increases production, it has the opposite effect. OPEC+ refers to an expanded group that includes ten extra non-OPEC members, the most notable of which is Russia.

01:06 Gold falls below $5,100 as rising oil prices stoke inflation concerns
Gold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure near $5,090 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the decline amid a stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields.

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Iran's new supreme leader vows to keep blocking the Strait of Hormuz. Rising oil prices could lead to prolonged inflation and potentially higher interest rates, weighing on the Gold price. Gold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure near $5,090 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the decline amid a stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields. The release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report for January will take center stage later on Friday. Iran’s new supreme leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, said that the crucial Strait of Hormuz should remain closed and that Iran will continue attacks on its Persian Gulf neighbors, per Bloomberg. US President Donald Trump called Iran "a nation of terror and hate" and said the situation is "moving along very rapidly" toward his guarantee of limited military involvement in the region.Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the Middle East situation. Any signs of a prolonged war in the region could boost a traditional safe-haven asset such as Gold in the near term. Nonetheless, the ongoing war in the Middle East has stoked fears of inflation rising in the US, which increases the likelihood of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping interest rates higher for longer. Higher rates tend to increase the relative appeal of yielding assets such as government bonds versus non-yielding precious metals like Gold. Gold FAQs Why do people invest in Gold? Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government. Who buys the most Gold? Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves. How is Gold correlated with other assets? Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal. What does the price of Gold depend on? The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.

00:58 Malaysia: Oil exporter status cushions MYR – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts note that January industrial production rose 5.9% year-on-year, the strongest since mid‑2024, driven by export-oriented manufacturing and semiconductor demand.

Commerzbank analysts note that January industrial production rose 5.9% year-on-year, the strongest since mid‑2024, driven by export-oriented manufacturing and semiconductor demand. Malaysia’s status as a net crude Oil exporter and relatively stable MYR help buffer regional contagion, though they caution that imported petroleum products remain a vulnerability.Stronger IP and crude exports aid MYR"January industrial production was slightly firmer than expected at 5.9% yoy (Bloomberg consensus: 5.0%) vs 4.8% in December. This was the strongest reading since July 2024.""Production is expected to hold up this year on expectations of continued strong global demand for both leading-edge and trailing-edge semiconductors, aided by investment in data centres.""Compared to its Asian peers, MYR has been relatively stable amid the spike in oil prices.""Malaysia is a net crude oil exporter and domestic refineries meet around 66% of refined oil demand. Nevertheless, one caveat is that Malaysia still imports petroleum products.""MYR is unlikely to escape contagion from the weakness in regional currencies but it is likely to be less susceptible to a further rise in oil prices."(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

00:07 CNH: Stable global usage outlook – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Tommy Wu and Hunter Chan note that the Offshore Renminbi (CNH) has shown a stable performance, with the Renminbi Globalisation Index largely flat between November and January after gains in August-October.

Standard Chartered economists Tommy Wu and Hunter Chan note that the Offshore Renminbi (CNH) has shown a stable performance, with the Renminbi Globalisation Index largely flat between November and January after gains in August-October. They highlight renewed appetite for Renminbi assets, relatively stable currency performance, and policy support under the 15th Five-Year Plan as drivers of a steady uptrend in global Renminbi usage.RGI steadies with supportive policy backdrop"The Standard Chartered Renminbi Globalisation Index (RGI), our proprietary measure of international Renminbi usage, was largely stable between November and January.""Overall, the index has stabilised since mid-2025, after undergoing some fluctuations amid US-China tariff uncertainty.""The ensuing trade negotiations and eventual trade truce reached in November helped stabilise market sentiment and improved confidence in the Renminbi.""A steady rise in Dim Sum bond issuance and increased Renminbi usage for trade settlement also contributed to the RGI’s stable performance.""We expect the RGI to register a steady uptrend this year given the widening range of Renminbi assets available and ongoing efforts by mainland China and Hong Kong authorities under the 15th Five-Year Plan (FYP) to promote the Renminbi’s global usage."(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

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03:19 Japanese Yen recovers slightly vs. USD as intervention fears loom ahead of US PCE data The USD/JPY pair meets with some supply during the Asian session on Friday, and for now, seems to have snapped a three-day winning streak back closer to the 159.40-159.45 area, or the year-to-date high.

03:15 PBOC sets USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9007 vs. 6.8959 previous On Friday, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) sets the USD/CNY central rate for the trading session ahead at 6.9007 compared to the previous day's fix of 6.8959 and 6.8888 Reuters estimate.

03:03 EUR/USD holds gains above 1.1500 ahead of US PCE inflation release The EUR/USD pair holds positive ground near 1.1520 during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. However, the potential upside might be limited amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

01:42 SGD: Energy shock keeps MAS path in play – OCBC OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong observe that Asian FX, including the Singapore Dollar, still vulnerable to Oil-driven inflation and growth risks despite the IEA’s reserve release.

01:06 Gold falls below $5,100 as rising oil prices stoke inflation concerns Gold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure near $5,090 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal extends the decline amid a stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher Treasury yields.

00:58 Malaysia: Oil exporter status cushions MYR – Commerzbank Commerzbank analysts note that January industrial production rose 5.9% year-on-year, the strongest since mid‑2024, driven by export-oriented manufacturing and semiconductor demand.

00:07 CNH: Stable global usage outlook – Standard Chartered Standard Chartered economists Tommy Wu and Hunter Chan note that the Offshore Renminbi (CNH) has shown a stable performance, with the Renminbi Globalisation Index largely flat between November and January after gains in August-October.

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